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mean for the economy? i'll talk to advisers and find out if they think we can avoid the fiscal cliff. and how to position your investments, stay safe and find the right sectors in the market. >>> and outspoken banker jamie dimon of jpmorgan chase. too big to fail. "the wall street journal report" begins right now. >> this is america's number-one financial news program. "the wall street journal report." now, maria bartiromo. >> here's what's making news as we head into a new week on wall street. if investors thought we would be getting a certainty bounce after the election, they thought wrong. in fact, president obama's second-term victory was greeted with stocks second worst day of the year. triple digits again thursday, and figures were mixed thursday. the possibility of a u.s. downgrade if america goes over the so-called fiscal cliff. but said it would wait until after budget negotiations. a downgrade, of course, would make it more expensive for the united states to borrow money. >>> superstorm sandy could provide an economic boost to the auto industry. as many as 250,000 new and u
of the economy, but this is has consumption fall as a share of gdp. >> exactly. and this is not a new issue. so we can't expect that just a new bunch of people come in, that the situation will change anytime soon. there are serious structural issues why china remains investment led rather than consumption led and the it would take big and far reaching policy reform to change that. >> will we see these reforms in light of the reports coming out of china as we mentioned with eunice just a few moments ago that perhaps we're not necessarily seeing as a reformist of a leadership for the next couple of years? >> yes, we don't really know what the new leadership is. in fact, for the last ten year, hu jintao was the leader, but the previous leader was in the background and he retained a lot of influence. and now the new leader will have not just hu jintao to deal with, but also his predecessor. so two who he'll have to deal with. 20 old people who used to be on the bureau, all of which will be exercising some influence. so i think this new leadership will be rather constrained at least for the first co
as the chinese economy shows signs of improve. >>> and we'll head out to washington for a view on how the handover of power in china will impact relations in the u.s. >> we're in london to talk about shipping trends. >>> plus what will obama do about the looming fiscal cliff? we'll have plenty of analysis from commentators. >> and we'll hear first from the cfo of aliance. but first day two data suggested growth is picking up and inflation is moderating meaning beijing may have more scope to ease if necessary. ppi industrial output and retail sales all came in better than forecast. eunice joins us from beijing. i'd hate to suggest this is quite good timing for this data. very convenient. >> what are you suggesting? a lot of people are saying that the numbers are showing the economy is bottoming out and a lot of people do use the numbers as a guideline at least. they're saying the investment figures were encouraging. looking relatively strong. the government hasn't put up of much money in the infrastructure projects, so that's part of the equation here. other part is retail and consumpt
ministers to say the economy may already be in recession. one step forward, two steps back. greek lawmakers approve 2013 budget, but germany warns brussels aren't likely to sign off on the next tranche of aid at their meeting today. lorenzo tells cnbc greece needs more time and he's urged europe to extend the company's debt maturities. plus president obama will get a lot of input this week from civic leaders on how to tackle the looming fiscal cliff before he sits down with house and senate leaders on friday. we're up and running for a fresh week of global business news. we'll hear from kelly fairly shortly. also on today's program, we'll be in brussels ahead of the important euro group meeting. focus there on greece and the eu budget. after the weekend, talks collapsed. and the annual world energy outlook report in an hour and plus analysis of where oil prices can be headed. and best buy gets set to join the tablet wars with it insignia flex. what can it offer to customers that the ipad, kindle 5 and surface can't. the first japanese government may be forcesed to lower its outlook for the
. as america demands compromise, on growing the economy and avoiding the fiscal cliff. the president today hosted an old fashioned lefty summit filled with labor chiefs and foreign liberal groups. he went to them ahead of business and the politicians are going to come later on friday. they are going to consider mitt romney's plan. he lost the election but might his ideas win out in the end? plus obamacare, continues to take it's toll on jobs. and one ceo's comments about it's plan are spurring a national movement to eat pizza. 48 days until the biggest tax hike in the history of the planet earth. president obama put labor and local interest groups to who knows what. senate minority leader had the perfect response on the senate floor today please take a lis ebb. >> the amount of revenue that they are prepared to put usual over the cliff over wouldn't fund the government for one week. so why in the world would we want to do that? what is the point? to make people feel good about whacking somebody else. >> so what is your answer to what mitch mcconnel said? go after rich people. why do it at
about the u.s. economy. >> you're watching "worldwide exchange," bringing you business news from around the globe. >>> hello. welcome to today's "worldwide exchange". >> 40 unions in 23 countries. that's the strikes that are planned across europe today. so if you thought there couldn't be any coordination, there is coordination. >> how are we going to be affected? >> you know, air travel, surprisingly, they have had to have a lot of cancelling due to strikes. >> we're fully at our jobs. there's two hours of it today. let's remind you exactly what's coming up. we'll have updates from beijing throughout the program as the new generation takes the first step towards leadership. >> and we're in london. talk to the ceo of wpp, martin sorrel. >> we discuss japanese banks. >> and the latest on cisco from silicon valley as the network equipment maker warns of slowing growth this quarter and some falling demand in europe. >> more than 2,000 delegates have cast their votes for china's new central committee, marking the end of the week long communist party. the world will have to wait one more day
something that will put this country on the long term path to a sustainable, strong economy like we need to create jobs. >> you were called the ultimate facilitator when you were in washington working in the first bush white house and you were incredibly successful in getting through some very tough initiatives in the second bush white house. how would you go about bringing these two sides together? what do you think is the key here for actually getting a deal done if you were the facilitator trying to bring these two sides together? >> i think the key to getting the deal done, sue, is to put yourself in the other person's shoes, realize it is very early in the game and realize on both sides that anything you say, anything you do can have an impact on locking people in to positions that you do not want to lock them in to. you want to keep people in an open space with open minds so you can move the pieces around and find the right combination that will keep us from going off the fiscal cliff. i think you also have to realize that you have people on both sides who it's not going to be a ma
westgate in london on all of that. japan's economy shrank, first contraction since last year. the data adding to signs of slowing global growth and tensions with china nudging the which i into recession. and yen minute's main oil export pipeline shut after it was blown up in two pieces. local news organizations didn't identify the attackers, but they've been repeatedly sabotaged. finally, iran launched a military drill across half of the country today. government warning it would act again against aggressors. >> where is your jacket? >> i decided in high spirit of rising above to take it off today. but i can't find my pin. >> i'm putting mine on right now. >> it's you saunderstood we're above. p. >> and you're about to talk about corporation news we haven't especially touched on petraeus. maybe we'll sneak that in. >>> htc announcing a global patent settlement and ten year licensing agreement. the deal sends one of the first major conflict of the smartphone patent wars. apple sued accusing the company of infringing on its technology. and citigroup will pay 15.5 million each to former c
of the communist party. we'll be in frankfurt for a look at how that economy has been affected. gdp showing a slowdown for germany in the third quarter. and we'll hear from the former head of the council of economic advisers austan goolsbee on how the u.s. can avoid falling off the fiscal cliff. plus we'll take you live to tokyo with japan hit by election fever. the yen is falling as a repeated call for bold monetary easing. and we'll be live in new york 5:45 a.m. for a look at the u.s. retail sector. walmart and target getting set to release third quarter numbers. >>> chig that's ruling com uhe nus party has lifted the curtain. the unveiling seals so s xi jins rise. hu has seeded oig all powers and that's gives china's next leader a strong mandate. eunice has more for us this morning. it sounds like a pretty signature consolidation of power under xi. >> definitely is a consolidation of power. he'll get a very strong mandate as you had mentioned to run this country the way that he wants. he gets the three top titles, the most powerful are party chief, president as well as military commander
% that we can't afford and according to economists, will have the least positive impact on our economy. >> all right. i don't know about you, but to me, that sounds like a fairly staunch and unwavering position. and yet, the president did insist he's staying open to new ideas. take a listen to this one. >> i am open to new ideas, if the republican counterparts or some democrats have a great idea for us to raise revenue, maintain progressivity, make sure the middle class isn't getting hit, reduces our deficit, encourages growth, i'm not going to just slam the door in their face. i want to hear -- i want to hear ideas from everybody. >> all right. now, that second one -- that second one was pretty good, if you ask me. and again, i'm trying to be optimistic about tax reform rather than higher tax rates that will damage economic incentives. but does this really sound like somebody who's ready to make a deal? that's a big question. here now is cnbc contributor keith bicycoykin, and david web radio talk show host and co-founder of tea party 365. steve, did the president sound like he was rea
cliff, raising taxes in a slow economy. all of it is coming home to roost. >> mike, we had the president come out saying that he will veto any legislation that allows the tax cuts to be extended for the highest earners. is that what poured water on the rally? >> it didn't hurt. obviously, there was no breakthrough. i think the one thing to take away from today's action was the fever kind of broke a little bit in terms of the market really being hyper actively responding to every little knnuance. i think the market would have liked to see a little more affirmative suggestions that were going to come closer together. i don't think it was something that alarmed everybody, considering the height of panic that built up over a couple days. >> all right, guys. thanks so much. appreciate that. it has been a week to forget for the bulls. tough week after the election. courtney reagan wraps up the big losers and mixes in a few silver linings on the upside. court, over to you. i don't hear her. okay. courtney reagan, obviously her microphone, we're going to fix that in a moment and get back to her.
the economy. and we were surprised by his candor. mr. chairman, i'm gonna start with a question that everyone wants me to ask. when does this end? [stopwatch ticking] >> no one comes in without f.d.i.c. badges. >> could your bank be shut down? that's what's happening to this bank and to banks across the country. it's being done in secret by a group of agents led by the f.d.i.c., who move in after closing time when a bank has failed. [stopwatch ticking] >> it's weird economics when it really comes down to it, isn't it? >> well, from our perspective at the united states mint, it's unsustainable. you can't sustain losses on pennies and nickels and expect to be a viable organization that benefits the american people. >> welcome to 60 minutes on cnbc. i'm leslie stahl. by most accounts, the financial crash of 2008 pushed the u.s. economy to the brink of collapse. in its aftermath, some of the country's biggest banks received very big bailouts while large numbers of small local banks failed. this edition features a unique inside look at the seizure of a failed bank and a rare interview with one of
. everyone is going to play nice if we want the economy to grow. >> what about dividend payers? these companies are getting crushed as people speculate where dividend taxes go. jim, are you a buyer? you want to stay away? what do you want to do with dividend payers? >> until i get some clarity on the fiscal cliff, i would probably stay away from anything that would be a tax-related issue. the dividend payers would be high on the list. as far as what to do, i would agree with joe. gold was the story before the election. the argument was we were electing a president and a monetary policy. we elected the president that's going to continue the easy monetary policy. gold has been one of the few things that's been working through the election. i suspect it will continue to. >> all right. jeff, in the energy complex itself, what's the best opportunity right now? is it crude? is it heating oil? is it natural gas? what are you looking at? >> if you're a weather player, you certainly want to buy the heating oil. the way we've seen the last couple of days here, the weather has been very u
and longer-run fiscal issues. i think if we do that, the economy can boom. >> i'm hoping to use a phrase i've heard recently, that everybody can rise above the politics that we see here all the time. >> if the guys in washington don't get together and actually act like grown-ups, we're in big trouble. >>> hi, everybody. time to rise above and keep the country from enduring a self-inflicted crisis. we're here today. i'm maria bartiromo coming to you live from the schwab impact conference in chicago. welcome to the "closing bell." we enter the final stretch for the markets today. everybody here is focused on the fiscal cliff. coming up, i will talk to allen simpson and erskine bowles in an interview you cannot afford to miss. hope you join us 4:00 p.m. eastern. the co-founders of the fix the debt campaign, which many corporate leaders are backing. they'll tell us how they think washington can come together and reach a deal, bill. >> sure would be great to figure that out. maria, looking forward to that. i'm bill griffeth here at the new york stock exchange. markets continue to feel the sting
, for the foreseeable future, you're waiting for some sort of sign the economy -- the growth in the economy and reflation effort is going to take hold, is that it? >> the market has to believe it's going to be enough, by way of context. the fall from apple from peak to where it is now is $100 billion of market cap. $40 billion a month. the numbers are so billing and yet the federal reserve talks in billions when we live in a world of trillions. >> so what's the -- what's the best plan here, then, toward year-end? we have the clarity of the president in the white house but we have no clarity in terms of these taxes. i'm just wondering how many of you actually think we will see a compromise or are both sides going to continue to dig in, creating a real inaction for the next couple of years? >> michael first? >> i think have you to separate a grand bargain from extending out the deadline. our belief is very likely you'll get some kind of downpayment past this year and an extension of timing until the middle of next year. one thing we would encourage investors to remember is how much pressure i
. the first numbers are out now on how sandy is already taking a bite out of the economy. >>> and, we move to real estate. how real is the recovery? ben bernanke set to speak about housing and mortgages in just a few minutes and what he says could move the markets. >>> but first, let's head out to chicago where sue can be found at a major investor summit in the windy city. sue? >> indeed, i am in the beautiful windy city, ty. this is the schwab impact conference. welcome to the biggest convention center in the united states and it is chock-full with some of the top investment advisors out there. we're going to be talking to a number of them. we have a terrific hour planned here from chicago. we're going to talk to the five-star rated portfolio fund manager of the permanent portfolio fund, michael kuggino. he has $17 billion under management. we'll find out how he sleeps at night in this volatile market. >>> plus, liz ann sonders, schwab's chief investment strategist is with us. she's fired up about the fiscal cliff. she says congress has to rise above -- she's wearing one of our pins, ty a
to do after yesterday. we'll talk more about the economy in a minute with david rosenburg. it was pretty clear yesterday that depending on how you wanted to spin it, could you say how do you do for another four years. i don't remember any euro news in the last six months no matter how bad it was, we didn't get it free handle. so there's more to it than just europe. >> it was the fiscal cliff, but also the financials got hit so hard. if it had been romney, the cliff would be less of a deal because they would stepped all of them. so now we know and we lettered it first hand yesterday. boehner said we're open to tax increase, but part of a bigger plan that involves spending cuts. dove did a bungee -- >> worst thing i ever did. >> but it goes down and then right back up. >> the worst part is you feel like you're connected on something, but don't. it's a free fall until the very he said and then he start to feel like i'm connected to something and it throws being back into the air. >> my question is let's say that it's not a bungee, let's say it's a rope. so you jump and then you -- that woul
at stimulating the economy of the people's republic. but it seems like very few people in the west have noticed. i have to tell you, our big industrial stocks, they're trading at valuations that assume a depressed chinese economy, one that's not going to get any better. look, that's just wrong. it's not empirical. it's not rigorous. we just got some data overnight which showed that china's exports have climbed to a five-month high. that is not something you see from an economy that is about to crash and burn, is it? i'm not saying that china is fabulous and should be jumping for joy because of the state of their economic climate. but i am saying that the chinese negatives seem to be priced into all things china related. the chinese economy, i think, is in the process of bottoming. and based on what's been happening, i think it will have the kind of gentle, soft landing that very few investors, particularly the short sellers, are expecting. in other words, china is far from great. it's a heck of a lot better than the vast majority of people think. a lot of that is thanks to the chinese governmen
debate and what the economy needs to stay in recovery mode. a setting rich in theater coming just hours after the speaker of the house, boehner, made his case. >> indeed he did, ty. thank you. i'm sue herera, along with my partner tyler mathisen. john harwood and eamon javers are in washington as we countdown to the president's statement in a few minutes. we're hearing that the white house has invited congressional leaders for a meeting at the white house next week on the fiscal cliff. that seems to mean, john, to me anyway, a little bit of progress. what type of tone do you expect, john, the president to take in this next address? >> sue, i expect him to be conciliatory and reaching out to republicans the way john boehner has tried to strike that mode on capitol hill. two different white house specialists just told me the president will walk out here and announce he's invited the bipartisan leadership of congress to the white house next week to begin talks on the fiscal cliff. i have to think there is a possibility that they can really make some headway, if not solve the problem before
impact. >> definitely. year over year, oil demand is up. we've had very weak economy in europe. not much growth in the united states. but i think that's the trend we'll be playing out for the next few years. >> oil 110 at the moment. is that a fair price? >> there's premium built in because of geopolitical risks. i think premium is probably justifiable. you look at wti at $23 discount to where breptd is. that's not sustainable in the long time, but given inventory levels, that will stay. >> do you keep your trade on oil? >> we have neutral position, but we're short the front month. respe respect. we make money by rolling the contracts the other way around. we're long oil in the 12 months forward rolling in to the 13th month and we end up with little more oil with that strategy. so more of a curve play. >> all right. patrick, you're with us for the first half hour. also we'll be out to new york for a check of the retail sector in the wake of super storm sandy. some department stores are getting ready to report third quarter numbers. >> we're also live in italy ahead of the three biggest b
% in a zero interest rate environment. we all knew it was going to be a slow economy. we all knew the market was going to grow slow. the bottom line is even with the decline in the last eight days, we're still up 6.5%, 7%. >> you're saying to buy into this selloff? >> i think you have to buy into it. where are you going to put your money? most of the money is going into fixed income. that's just crazy. we know future interest rates are going to go higher. that's not going to hurt corporations. it's not going to hurt profits, but what it is going to do is hurt the individual investor. they should be in equities. when you look at the dividend plays out there, it's crazy not to be. >> boy, when it comes to the markets, michael, you could not have a more different point of view, could you? >> we have about 30% cash. i took out another about 20%. we're about 50% today in cash. i don't think the fiscal cliff is going to happen. i think they're going to punt. i don't think anybody in washington, d.c. has the meatballs or spaghetti to care about cutting our debt and deficits. you know, the only thin
that's ever been reelected, and if his job really is to lower unemployment and raise the economy, if that's really what he wants, i don't think it is. i think he's a doctrine, big government, socialistic guy. but if he wants to help the economy, it's to cut government spending. balancing the budget doesn't matter if the budget is real high. >> he's taken -- he proposes to take money out of the private sector. $1.6 trillion, which kind of came out yesterday or the day before, blew everybody's mind. but how do you see this? stock market falling after the reelection. i know there are many factors in the stock market. but my question is this, t.j. from your vantage point out there and from your vantage point philosophically, what do you think the president wants to do? what do you think people reelected him to do? >> well, i'm not sure they reelected him to do anything. there's been a lot of blather about the obama mandate. the fact is it was an obama squeaker and if the republicans had put up a better candidate as ronald reagan got put up against jimmy carter, president obama would
thought that was amazing. it's a command economy. maybe they can pull it off. if they do it, they can take the whole world with them up, up. >> the governor hinting perhaps the data to be released tonight, tomorrow in china, will be better than expected. hinting at continuing slow growth. slow but it is growth and that's the important thing coming to china. we're getting notes and recognize there's certain china stocks. truck engines. we are seeing that last month was good. now, that's very contrary to what a lot of other retail and people saying retail commentary, distorted by the weather. but this china trade is gaining momentum, not losing momentum. at the same time that i feel that united states is losing momentum. >> interesting comments out of the boe. we knew that central banks doing nothing and governors now saying, qe which they have been pouring on for a long time, going to flatten out at the asset purchase levels and not having the impact. >> china trade. second is housing. i think they haven't done enough to be able to revitalize to be what i regard as the housing part of the g
. >>> within the hour, word that president obama will make a statement on the fiscal cliff and the economy at 1:00 p.m. tomorrow. the congressional budget office issued a new scenario of what happens if the president and congress fail to act. eamon javers joins us now with the details. good evening, eamon. >> reporter: good evening, larry. as you say, we're getting news tonight we're going to get dueling appearances tomorrow between speaker john boehner and president barack obama. the speaker will address a crowd of reporters at 11:00 in the morning. he will take questions from the press. we're told obama will speak at 1:00 in the east room of the white house and will not take questions from reporters. there will be an audience there, but he will not be taking questions. meanwhile, we're getting this report out today from the cbo, which is laying out the scenario of just how bad things would be if we go over the fiscal cliff. let me give you a couple of the key bullet points here. the cbo saying if we go over the cliff the gdp would drop by 0.5% in 2013. it could decline in the first half of th
slow down our economy. >> president obama from his part came into the east room. he also drew a line, but the line he drew was not insisting on higher tax rates but on higher tax revenues. >>> i'm not wedded to every detail of my plan. i'm open to compromise. i'm open to new ideas. i'm committed to solving our fiscal challenges, but i refuse to accept any approach that isn't balanced. >> so, larry, balance is the key for president obama, not necessarily increases in tax rates. signs of conciliation on both sides and late this afternoon the bipartisan policy center which has been pushing for a simpson bowles-type solution said they were encouraged by the flexibility shown on both side says. john harwood, appreciate it and let's get reaction, and we have republican whip senator john kyl from arizona and senator kyl as always, sir, thank you for coming on and let me just ask you, is this a new era of good feelings and is this an era of compromise and is this an era of common ground, mr. kyl? >> kumbaya. well, we hope so and you focused on precisely the issue here and maybe from what the
stop any economy in it's tracks. [ sound of train ] >> i mind why we aren't pummeled instead of being unchanged like yesterday is because there are factors that need to be flushed out on this show. ones that explain why things aren't going the intuitive way. i find this hope somewhat incredible. given the terrible track record of congress and the president. and the huge goal between the parts. after all, if you are president oba obama, you believe the election is over and your campaign received a ringing endorsement. but if you are a republican a, u have to believe that those republicans that do not want to rise above politics are banks on massive declines in spending to wreck the economy f. if you are a republican, in permanent campaign mode, i'm sure one of your advisers going off the fiscal cliff might be the best thing in terms of the election. worse, if you are a democrat, you might think the defense spending cuts could be coming and you might think that is good. there is a sense that those who want to stimy the president are going to be targeted by other politicians and yes, the
a tax cut for folks who don't need it. >> the issue there is we are not going to hurt our economy and make job creation more difficult, which is exactly what that plan would do. there are ways to put revenue on the table without increasing tax rates. >> what's your reaction? >> i'm actually more hopeful than al is. >> you used to be more depressed. what's gotn n tten to you? >> i spent the last few days here. i am more hopeful. we got a democrat president who's in his second term, who's been willing to put entitlement programs on the line. we got a speaker, a republican, who really gets it, who understands that we have to have some decisi additional revenue. we have over half a senate who have embraced a balanced plan like we've proposed. and we've got this fiscal cliff, which will force action. i think they are pretty pitch saying the same thing. both of them are saying we have to have revenue. the president says, look, i want that revenue to be real. the only way i don't know fknow real for sure it to raise the tax rate. the speaker is saying there's a better way to do it. that
begins today. president obama will be making a statement on the economy. he'll speak from the east room of the white house at 1:05 eastern time. you can of course catch all of it right here on cnbc. john boehner is also scheduled to hold a you news conference today, as well. st. louis fed president james bullard is saying the u.s. economy is strengthening. but he's cautioning that leaders must tackle the looming fiscal cliff. a conversation we can't get away from. speaking in missouri yesterday, bullard also says he doubts the central bank will extend a bond maturity extension program that expires at the end of the year. bullard is not currently a voting member, but he will ebb in 2013. and china's national congress continues with new leaders for the communist party set to be named later this morning. today a rising star said the party is moving towards requiring officials to their their assets. so an interesting piece in the chinese business press this morning. >> we have been talking about the fiscal cliff and -- >> we have? >> and yesterday somebody tweeted a new drinking game. every
, and with less revenue relative to our economy than we've had for 50 years. we're going to have to raise revenue. that revenue should come probably from the people who have been most fortunate over the last generation. that's the position the president's taking. i think it's a reasonable one. i think there's a shared reck a -- recognition between the president and the congress that it would be a catastrophe for the country if nothing was to be done and $600 billion was to be withdrawn from this economy. >> of course, the markets would also see that as a catastrophe. you know, there's an article in the "new york times" today. senator schumer was quoted. he said, look, we might be able to get that revenue you're talking about by eliminating the loopholes and leaving the highest tax rate at 35% rather than taking it up to 39.6%. it seems so petty to be discussing, you know, the tax rate on just a small portion of the population. but do you think you can get that revenue by eliminating the loopholes and leaving taxes where they are, broadening the base, lowering the corporate rate? >> i think there'
said they would damage the economy. our economy is growing slower now than it was then. we are really regulating to disaster. >> epa in 2010, diana? $23 billion of regulatory costs for the year 2010. >> that's what epa says. it is really probably a lot more than that. i mean, thee regulations, the mercury, the car ever carbon, ozone, each cost $100 billion each. >> all right. >> they don't have to justify them with benefits because it is maximum achievable control technology. in other words, they want to get as much as they can out of the air and don't have to justify the benefits. >> all right. robert, let me bring you in. you got your own epa in california. and you got your own cap and trade in california. and you got your own tax hikes in california. i guess everybody is going to move to texas. is that true? leave town and go to texas? >> we are certainly going to do everything we can to prevent that. we are hoping to work with the governor and he will do the same. >> you don't really believe that, do you? i mean, governor brown wanted the tax hikes. governor brown is one of the bi
there is in the economy. i'm a little confused as to why you would think that would happen. >> what i'm saying is you could pick any target you want. picking targets is a far cry from actually making a difference on things like unemployment. targets are easy. >> but here's the thing. >> but the target is 2015. rates aren't movmoving. what are you suggesting? the fed was clear about this. >> if the rates go up, we're in a big, big problem because we cannot service the debt. they have to keep them down. >> very good point. >> i don't think that's what's behind fed policy. >> i do. >> when you think about higher interest rates, you have to consider why interest rates would be higher. they could be higher if there was more economic growth. more economic growth would mean higher tax revenue. in that regard, you wouldn't necessarily have to have these low interest rates. you could service a higher interest rate and a higher debt service if there was more economic growth. >> how do we get economic growth? >> when the private sector decides it's going to invest and spend and hire, maria. those are the source
important issue in the united states and certainly the largest threat to the u.s. economy. >> meredith whitney was talking back in 2010 about a then- looming financial crisis involving state and local governments across the country. it was a debt crisis which some people believe could derail the recovery and require another big bailout package that no one in washington wants to talk about. >> the day of reckoning has arrived. that's it. and it's gonna arrive everywhere. time may vary a little bit depending upon which state you're in, but it's coming. [ticking] >> welcome to 60 minutes on cnbc. i'm steve kroft. in this edition, we look at three stories linked by the financial collapse of 2008. first, we examine a scam that's cost thousands of americans their homes. then we look into wall street's shadow market of credit default swaps. finally, a report on the perilous state of state finances. we begin with the foreclosure crisis. in the aftermath of the great recession, the huge number of foreclosed properties was a significant factor in weighing down the economy. many were stuck on the
that the central bank can't do much more to shelter the economy. >> we need to completely reboot tax policy and spending policy. if we have temporary fixes to the fiscal cliff, just push out the envelope of indecision until we have a sense of true direction, and it's time for our politicians to get their act together. >> fisher says he does not view the fed as a safety net. that is certainly a change of perception, one that congress is going to have to figure out pretty quickly along with the rest of washington. >> that it is. there's been a number of interviews this morning that would lead you to the same place. cisco reporting better than expected first quarter earnings in revenues, but the tech giant expects flat earnings and slower revenue growth for the current quarter. john chambers sees europe getting worse before it gets better, but he says there are signs of improvement in the u.s. economy. >> we want to be the one company that both exceeds expectations and doesn't bring down guidance. so kind of a hint on terms of what we see. it really says we're in the right spots for growth. mo
as the german economy raising some eyebrows. the cac 40 down 0.2%. the ibex trying to buck the trend and aed 0.4% this morning. but keeping with the sort of grim theme that's playing out, h and m reported numbers. they came out sharply negative rely it difference to what was expected. indicating softness in demand. here is just a seven day chart. but certainly as we gear up for walmart and target in the ut.s. increasing contrast. what's happening on the eurozone side. expects 2.5% contraction in the economy next year as the macro situation gets worse, the debt dry sis will only be called less resolvab resolvable. >> kelly, thank you very much. when we come back on squawk, we we are question wling what's rey at stake. is it truly vital that a deal be reach some had you can ask the ceo of dravis. he understands what could happen in the worst case scenario. having you ship my gifts couldn't be easier. well, having a ton of locations doesn't hurt. and my daughter loves the santa. oh, ah sir. that is a customer. let's not tell mom. [ male announcer ] break from the holiday stress. fedex office. >>>
-term health of our economy? we debate straight ahead. >>> and coming unraveled. he's the man some say is a bigger crook and liar than bernie madoff. >> how many people who are condemning what i did would know for sure they would never do anything like what i did if they knew they wouldn't get caught? >> we get the scoop about mark drier from a former employee who produced the award-winning documentary about one of wall street's biggest scam artists. that's all ahead on the "closing bell." i just want to give her everything. [ whistles ] three words dad, e-trade financial consultants. they'll hook you up with a solid plan. wa-- wa-- wait a minute; bobby? bobby! what are you doing man? i'm speed dating! [ male announcer ] get investing advice for your family at e-trade. >>> welcome back. let's check groupon shares. the stock down sharply today after reporting disappointing earnings moments ago. john fortt breaking down the numbers. 10.7 pv 10.7% lower. >> yeah, the stock traded up into the close. revenue fell short. $568.6 million versus $590 expected. eps flat, basically zero. 3 cents
that corporate profits will begin to disappoint and that the global economy will hardly grow next year or even contract. and for that is the reason that stocks from the highs in september at 1470 on the s&p will drop in my view at least 20%. apple has already dropped more than 20%. >> what's causing this global shedo do slowdown? is there any way out of this or is this a messes that we have to live with right now? >> each country has specific problems. i was in vietnam, i've seldom see seen such an overbuild real estate market. it will take years to absorb everything. and vietnam property market is a microcosm of the chinese property market. it will also take years in china to absorb all the properties that are being built. in the western world including japan, the problem is we have too much debt and that debt now will have to be somewhere somehow repaid or it will slow down economic growth. and so i think that we live beyond our means 1980 to 2007 and now it's pay back period. >> it's pay back period but if you have a situation that you expect where the fiscal cliff is one that we never addr
markets but the overall economy is walmart. which is why we're keeping close tabs on the world's biggest retailer's decision to kick off its black friday promotions earlier than ever. to talk about the ripple effects of that and hurricane sandy, burt fleck enfleckenger. >> start first with this black friday move which lets a lot of people start shopping on thanksgiving. smart move by walmart or a desperation move by walmart? >> sue, it's desperation retailing and desperation discounting. >> why? >> as tyler mathisen referenced earlier, it's ho ho ho to try to hold sales by opening 16 hours earlier for black friday this year and 22 hours earlier than the prior year. walmart's got two salient ships which will benefit the company. number one, last year they sold out of 32-inch tvs in the stores i was in this less than 22 minutes. secondly, the lines, people were freezing for a few to five hours and getting into to best buy by comparison right away. walmart guarantees it will be one hour in line. that's a benefit. >> burt, let me ask you though. last year when we saw this happen there was a
of stock back. so that is a theme here. but the media showing else the uncertainty about the future economy, we're not sure where we're headed, scattered and so forth. >> this is the nonfiscal cliff, mlts believing in themselves roerm. because you at home don't want to buy it so we'll take it. >> hate to think where we would be without it, without this whole phenomenon during this year. >> bernanke hasn't talked about how that would be balance repair. >> i will tell you right now -- >> i'm trying to be positive. >> forget it, nothing happening in the next six weeks. >> too many holiday parties. >> let's worry, maybe next year. >> five more days until my kids are back. >> reporter: well, folks, happy thursday. this means one week to happy thanksgiving. people here are exhausted. they are trying to find any possible iteration to defying the fiscal cliff. i just talked to a trade never an investment conference that i talk to all the time. he said stock, mutual fun and etf sellers are everywhere in this conference are concerned about taxes and the fiscal cliff. general depression is what's goin
economy has hurt sales. this is a trade down play. a weak economy is supposed to help sales. we also hear from walmart, gap, and target. and these three have been on a tear. can we continue? i think the storm might impact how well they're doing and i fear these stocks are all too high. maybe you sell some wednesday? on the other hand, the stock of ross stores has been horrendous already. maybe that one can bounce on thursday morning. i do think it's cheap and it has great growth. friday morning foot locker reports. as foot locker goes so goes nike. we have the goldman sachs industrial conference that starts monday. we think that china is turning. how much? how soon? we'll find out next week. tuesday's best buy. they're having an analyst day and this one should be down right comical. company is challenged everywhere. previous management wants to buy the company back, amazon. then we get the credit suisse. we will get the best of the best at this conference which is the biggest of the year for that sector. it also tells you what is big in the pharma pipe. and humana has an investor day next
what is infuriating. it's all about to work. our economy was at last about to take off after a slow recovery from the great recession. >> you wouldn't know that from the average. yet, the economy, the economy was about to bust out and washington snuffed it. we had it in hand, we had to turn housing with home builders, and we had to turn to booming order from boeing. and banks were getting their balance, and oil and gas industry started booming and opportunities for new petrochemicals hiring tens of thousands of people strongest in years. people, it was all come together. and now washington's crushing it. best of all, people are starting to get hired again. all those industries are just mentioned were growing, all of them looked like a real good year to expand. business people are in retreat, and their leaders, many of whom speak to me, are done hiring. and they want to fire, cutback, so she saw the chaos from capital coming and did the right thing for shareholders, when the right thing not that long ago was to hire, not fire. washington with its sickening inability to compromise wre
is not struck by the end. year, the u.s. economy would head back into recession, contract by half a percent in 2013. president is scheduled to make remarks on the cliff at 1 p.m. time. speaker boehner will address us. can the president say anything to make this whole week look like a dream? >> that's a tough one. what our lalt friend mark haines used to talk about, we need a capitulation, we need the answer, no, are you kidding? there was a congressman on "squawk" this morning say, yes, don't worry about it. when i hear that i say, no, it's not going to happen. we have to have them worry, as worried as we are. i still see this kind of grover norquist run republican party which would rather not have a tax increase and take the tit titanic down in the name of the country. >> viewers will say, wasn't wednesday a woosh? what qualifies a woosh at this point? in terms of the signs we've seen, isn't that qualified as a woosh. >> you open down and rally between 12 and 1. you get the 10 to 1 ratio. i'm just quoting mark haines. if you saw 20 to 1, you would say, you need to buy it. i need to see hai
ceos and business leaders talking about challenges with the global economy and one of the topics of conversation is likely to be news we are just now getting out of washington. the obama administration signaling that it is expanding the multi-year crackdown on bribes paid by u.s. companies to foreign officials under the foreign corrupt practices act and the administration out with new guidelines, 120 pages. the act that's been in place since the carter administration is too vague and putting u.s. companies at a competitive disadvantage. so now the department of justice and the securities exchange commission out with 120 pages of guidelines talking about what is a bribe, who is a foreign official. we've put all of these guidelines on our website. cnbc.com. you can read more about it. this is again something that business leaders have been clamoring for but they want changes in the law. we'll see if the guidelines are enough to ease their concerns. back to you. >> thank you very much, scott. let's get to it then. the clock is ticking in d.c. today on the fiscal cliff. 1:30 obama wi
days until that deadline. america's economy literally being held hostage, many say, by washington and as the clock ticks down we're holding lawmakers' feet to the fire. congresswoman allison schwartz represents the 13th district of pennsylvania and she is on the budget committee and the foreign affairs committee in the house. miss schwartz, thank you for joining us. congratulations on your re-election. >> thank you. >> let's go to the question that eamon just raised about capital gains. obviously of key interest to our audience and investor centered audience. do you think that capital gains tax rates ought to rise from their current 15%, and do you think as part of the bargain that they probably will? >> well, the fact is that we have not made firm decisions on exactly what goes up and what doesn't but i think what we do know and what we do feel strongly about -- and the president laid it out just yesterday -- is that we need a balanced approach. we do need some more revenues. we do need the very wealthiest among us to pay a little bit more. and so what we really need first is a w
economy and i hope we continue that way. >> i'm glad we got to talk about safety cleans last time you were on. we didn't get to it last time because there's so much going on with sandy. congratulations on a fabulous quarter. i knew you would deliver. chairman and ceo of clean harbors. >> thanks so much, jim. >> guys, look. there are certain stories. we bring them to you last week. stocks at 50 goes to 59. do you want to chase up nine? when this stock comes in, think about the opportunities they have. most stocks do not have their expertise or opportunity. >> announcer: coming up, election correction. the market obliterated anything romney related today. but stick around. cramer is rummaging through the romney rubble to find you diamonds in the rough. in america today we're running to compete on the global stage. what we need are people prepared for the careers of our new economy. by 2025, we could have 20 million jobs without enough college graduates to fill them. that's why at devry university, we're teaming up with companies like cisco to help make sure everyone's ready with the know how
an excess of inventory that was a buildup prior to the economic downturn. >> uncertainty from the economy or the fiscal cliff, does that prevent consumers? are you worried about consumers not being willing to buy a time share? >> absolutely. there's a direct correlation between what we call a closing rate or percentage of people that we talk to that actually buy and consumer confidence. and as consumer confidence has a tendency to move, so does their desire to buy a time share. hopefully over time the consumer confidence number will continue to climb and everything will get better. >> you watch washington very carefully over the next few weeks. >> very carefully. it's got us all concerned. we're hopeful that now with the election behind us, they'll start moving in what we hope to be the right direction for the country. >> a pleasure to speak with you. thank you so much. >> thank you very much. >> president and ceo of marriott vacations worldwide. over to you. >> thanks. when we come back, an electric car company believe it is has the right kind of spark. has tesla made the right transitio
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